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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1082

Salt Lake City's forecast for Sunday has moved 9°F colder

83°F in the 20260912T00:00Z run, 74°F in the 20260914T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, September 20 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 83.1°F in the 20260912T00:00Z cycle to 74.0°F in the 20260914T00:00Z — a move of -9.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.6 °F normal 9.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1082 · laid 2026-09-14T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260914T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e6617d8256adcc0d89ecbc4662f104f33884665fdc913d1b6d0c6cd3472de49c
Machine
JSON