Edition 2026-09-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1079

Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F colder

84°F in the 20260911T18:00Z run, 75°F in the 20260913T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 83.9°F in the 20260911T18:00Z cycle to 75.5°F in the 20260913T18:00Z — a move of -8.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
10.1 °F normal 8.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1079 · laid 2026-09-14T04:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260913T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
9fbd8cf54f2f4fe259e235a0d8aa823559eee1c98299d40ac8628f4c9e6550be
Machine
JSON