Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1070
Kansas City's forecast for Thursday has moved 10°F warmer
76°F in the 20260911T00:00Z run, 86°F in the 20260912T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, September 17 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 76.4°F in the 20260911T00:00Z cycle to 86.3°F in the 20260912T18:00Z — a move of +9.9°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
9.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
20.2 °F | normal 9.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1070 · laid 2026-09-13T04:25:15Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260912T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 59d31eb41c8a7a8d520684b6418bef65330d2015e656dd6daeb55e2503f67ec6
- Machine
- JSON