Edition 2026-09-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1067

Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 10°F colder

67°F in the 20260911T00:00Z run, 57°F in the 20260912T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 09Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 66.9°F in the 20260911T00:00Z cycle to 57.2°F in the 20260912T12:00Z — a move of -9.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
12.7 °F normal 9.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1067 · laid 2026-09-12T22:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260912T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
ed9d094187fba5749022f8b4784505bae75c01bbd9454bf9d9c50f25b2ccccb1
Machine
JSON