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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1064

Salt Lake City's forecast for Friday has moved 9°F colder

67°F in the 20260910T12:00Z run, 57°F in the 20260912T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, September 18 at 09Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 66.6°F in the 20260910T12:00Z cycle to 57.3°F in the 20260912T06:00Z — a move of -9.4°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
12.2 °F normal 9.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1064 · laid 2026-09-12T16:25:15Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260912T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e5785fd499130a3c6a2dd25ed37222b7c1fda9a7c03f99a8c31539110390069b
Machine
JSON