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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1062

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 11°F warmer

63°F in the 20260910T06:00Z run, 74°F in the 20260912T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 00Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 62.9°F in the 20260910T06:00Z cycle to 73.8°F in the 20260912T00:00Z — a move of +10.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.5 °F normal 10.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1062 · laid 2026-09-12T10:25:11Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260912T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
714033db6c5a16b21f0bf499c7d06d5704a427b1d6f1ba4840f7194497bcb1ab
Machine
JSON