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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 106

September 25, 2023 Hurricane Season

Philippe struggling with Rina on the way

What the month did

September 2023 was the 9th-warmest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 67.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 66.0°F (+1.8°F).

September 2023 was the 27th-driest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.6in (-0.4in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

TS Ophelia nearly became a hurricane prior to landfall in North Carolina with central pressure around 980 mb. The hybrid nature of the system prevented a tight inner-core or wind field from developing. The lingering clouds and rainfall is making for a miserable Monday in the mid-Atlantic.

The Atlantic basin remains active with Philippe {17L) and Invest 91L to be soon Tropical Storm Rina. Unfortunately for Philippe, wind shear has a caused severe disruption and we are no longer expected to see intensification, at least in the next 5-6 days. Instead, Rina is the next big hurricane on the block.

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Milepost
106 · laid 2023-09-25T21:07:51.024000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/september-25-2023-hurricane-season
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