Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 13°F warmer
72°F in the 20260909T12:00Z run, 85°F in the 20260911T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, September 15 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 71.5°F in the 20260909T12:00Z cycle to 84.8°F in the 20260911T06:00Z — a move of +13.3°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
13.3 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
9.7 °F | normal 13.3 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1054 · laid 2026-09-11T16:25:13Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260911T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- f4f8a6c5e93b2a580638ea287b7b375824df99af5be97d5f05ba481870f00411
- Machine
- JSON