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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1044

Salt Lake City's forecast for Sunday has moved 15°F warmer

63°F in the 20260908T18:00Z run, 78°F in the 20260910T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 22°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, September 13 at 18Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 62.6°F in the 20260908T18:00Z cycle to 77.8°F in the 20260910T12:00Z — a move of +15.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
15.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
21.6 °F normal 15.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1044 · laid 2026-09-10T22:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260910T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
c42e078ec4a881be7d9abaf0e5c0d836efeda333d03b80c95de55ac9177e3972
Machine
JSON