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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1041

Salt Lake City's forecast for Sunday has moved 11°F warmer

62°F in the 20260908T12:00Z run, 73°F in the 20260910T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, September 13 at 12Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 61.9°F in the 20260908T12:00Z cycle to 73.0°F in the 20260910T06:00Z — a move of +11.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.7 °F normal 11.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1041 · laid 2026-09-10T16:16:45Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260910T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
9dd8843a1f2a3b0d0587c351b73e0354b059ec2d52456e2f2ff8d326e99bfd41
Machine
JSON