Kansas City's forecast for Thursday has moved 10°F colder
79°F in the 20260909T06:00Z run, 68°F in the 20260910T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, September 17 at 15Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 78.5°F in the 20260909T06:00Z cycle to 68.5°F in the 20260910T00:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
| forecast revision for Thursday at 15Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-10.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
19.4 °F | normal 10.1 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1035 · laid 2026-09-10T12:29:55Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260910T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 906feb1de3c065ceaad10d4d5ff323fd163fc78b786039358dcf6d89874158e5
- Machine
- JSON