September 19, 2023 Hurricane Season
Area of low pressure off Carolinas will drench coast
September 2023 was the 9th-warmest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 67.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 66.0°F (+1.8°F).
September 2023 was the 27th-driest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.6in (-0.4in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Hurricane Nigel is swirling out in the open Atlantic. Aircraft recon has researched the storm and found 85-knot (100-mph) winds around a very large eye. NHC’s Eric Blake mentioned mid-level dry air and light shear disrupting the convective structure. Hence, the predicted rapid intensification did not pan out. The storm may still reach Major Hurricane status before weakening over colder water. The track is away from land. Nigel will complete ET by Friday, but is no longer expected to re-intensify into a powerful bomb-cyclone.
Area of Low Pressure off Southeast US Coast (30% development chance in 7-days from NHC) could become a Subtropical Storm , which would be named by the Hurricane Center. Regardless, onshore flow from the east will dump quite a bit of rain along the coast. Sometime on Sunday, the area of low pressure (~1000 mb) could make landfall, but seems to be messed up with the stationary front draped along the East Coast.
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- 102 · laid 2023-09-19T21:26:04.912000Z
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