August 5, 2026 Wednesday Tropical Update
Signs of life in the Atlantic basin later next week as robust African tropical waves encounter a more favorable environment in the MDR
August 2026 was the warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+2.5°F).
August 2026 was the 22nd-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.4in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Strongest El Niño since 1997 (so far)
A lot has been added celsius.earth in the background over the past 2-weeks — and I’m quite proud of today’s upgrade —> ENSO page with ERA5 powered MEIv2 + seasonal forecasting for August init. My time and effort to create these UNIQUE pages + resources —> only possible through generous subscribers here at Weather Trader on Substack. These particular products don’t exist elsewhere, and I’m really enjoying building new things! With the data infrastructure firmly in place, it is now easy to continuing expanding Celsius Earth.
The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.
Read the full piece →- Milepost
- 1000 · laid 2026-08-06T01:03:00.793000Z
- Source
- https://weather.substack.com/p/august-5-2026-wednesday-tropical
- Digest
- 1cfb814be1165df09e65fd47372368aca042130da402ea860d06355868c41f8d
- Machine
- JSON