New York's forecast for Sunday has moved 7°F warmer
48°F in the 20261112T06:00Z run, 55°F in the 20261114T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 8°F.
RevisionsSaturday, November 14, 2026New York, New York
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Milepost 1687
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 15 at 21Z in New York, that trail runs from 47.6°F in the 20261112T06:00Z cycle to 54.6°F in the 20261114T00:00Z — a move of +7.0°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
8.4 °F | normal 7.0 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1687 · laid 2026-11-14T10:25:31Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261114T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · New York, New York (40.713, -74.006) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 9e7df8ceee6f8ff5c0e47b543516df0bc8f1b4d2d5af73491c9c5a91f8a59acd