Kansas City's forecast for Sunday has moved 7°F colder
38°F in the 20261111T00:00Z run, 30°F in the 20261112T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.
RevisionsFriday, November 13, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1678
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 15 at 12Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 37.7°F in the 20261111T00:00Z cycle to 30.5°F in the 20261112T18:00Z — a move of -7.2°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Sunday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-7.2 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
11.7 °F | normal 7.2 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1678 · laid 2026-11-13T04:25:28Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261112T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 1641d3cd6ee9e33c23cb1da010d41a618368ccfe624101965ba22cd8cd7dea80