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Forecast Post
Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F colder Subscribe

Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F colder

57°F in the 20261110T06:00Z run, 47°F in the 20261112T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

JSON Milepost 1670

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 14 at 18Z in Denver, that trail runs from 56.6°F in the 20261110T06:00Z cycle to 47.4°F in the 20261112T00:00Z — a move of -9.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.1 °F normal 9.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1670 · laid 2026-11-12T10:25:31Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261112T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Stores
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Tagged
I-500 Daily Weather · Denver, Colorado (39.739, -104.99) · by rule, at build
Digest
9e018370ead281123742302611cc0c9d16cf1c5ce4673c5f5c8917bf256130f7