Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 10°F colder
46°F in the 20261109T18:00Z run, 36°F in the 20261111T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.
RevisionsWednesday, November 11, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1662
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 12Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 45.6°F in the 20261109T18:00Z cycle to 35.5°F in the 20261111T12:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-10.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
9.7 °F | normal 10.1 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1662 · laid 2026-11-11T22:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261111T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 7bf1249cfcc56e6013e827f30e32a22a27fbec5ec9cf3376346c3e62f51157b3