Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 17°F colder
57°F in the 20261108T18:00Z run, 40°F in the 20261110T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.
RevisionsTuesday, November 10, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1652
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 03Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 57.1°F in the 20261108T18:00Z cycle to 40.4°F in the 20261110T12:00Z — a move of -16.7°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 03Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-16.7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
14.2 °F | normal 16.7 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1652 · laid 2026-11-10T22:25:31Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261110T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 93d4576abfe670e217a208f402e09d267f10eefd44db175697449e7e3d975255