Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 16°F colder
56°F in the 20261108T12:00Z run, 39°F in the 20261110T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.
RevisionsTuesday, November 10, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1649
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 06Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 55.9°F in the 20261108T12:00Z cycle to 39.5°F in the 20261110T06:00Z — a move of -16.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 06Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-16.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
16.6 °F | normal 16.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1649 · laid 2026-11-10T16:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261110T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- ba7ad42193f0251d88f71d2241014d73f9b1002132e6d6da5f4a38358c7ef5fb