Minneapolis's forecast for Sunday has moved 12°F colder
49°F in the 20261107T18:00Z run, 37°F in the 20261109T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 7°F.
RevisionsMonday, November 9, 2026Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Milepost 1640
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 15 at 00Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 49.3°F in the 20261107T18:00Z cycle to 37.4°F in the 20261109T12:00Z — a move of -11.9°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Sunday at 00Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-11.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
7.2 °F | normal 11.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1640 · laid 2026-11-09T22:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261109T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Minneapolis, Minnesota (44.978, -93.265) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- c56e29d498254b2e52b6a6b60a4f7912fa6b6fa41a29a61aebda34859ad050cd