Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 7°F colder
59°F in the 20260928T12:00Z run, 52°F in the 20260930T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.
RevisionsWednesday, September 30, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1253
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 3 at 09Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 58.9°F in the 20260928T12:00Z cycle to 51.7°F in the 20260930T06:00Z — a move of -7.2°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-7.2 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
9 °F | normal 7.2 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1253 · laid 2026-09-30T16:25:15Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260930T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 91fc1770a2362c0c53d77896e5d5673571a52f10378fc184bc512c9af2c1faf0