Edition 2026-09-30 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1248

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Atlanta, Georgia Revisions MILEPOST 1248

Atlanta's forecast for Wednesday has moved 12°F colder

65°F in the 20260928T00:00Z run, 53°F in the 20260929T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 7 at 12Z in Atlanta, that trail runs from 65.0°F in the 20260928T00:00Z cycle to 53.0°F in the 20260929T18:00Z — a move of -12.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-12.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
9.2 °F normal 12.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1248 · laid 2026-09-30T04:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260929T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
d464b670b4ee56ec678927ece7b76bfc5a9ab023e5ed0eb9f6be97a41d13ec92
Machine
JSON