Edition 2026-09-29 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1243

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1241

Dallas's forecast for Friday has moved 10°F warmer

78°F in the 20260928T06:00Z run, 88°F in the 20260929T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 9 at 18Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 78.3°F in the 20260928T06:00Z cycle to 88.2°F in the 20260929T00:00Z — a move of +9.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.3 °F normal 9.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1241 · laid 2026-09-29T10:25:14Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260929T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
fe2b32969888307c7f88fc56e8380224efaa7b0a695970591c278094e2831b63
Machine
JSON