Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1228
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 11°F colder
67°F in the 20260925T12:00Z run, 56°F in the 20260927T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 11 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 3 at 09Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 66.8°F in the 20260925T12:00Z cycle to 55.7°F in the 20260927T06:00Z — a move of -11.2°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-11.2 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 11 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
19.1 °F | normal 11.2 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1228 · laid 2026-09-27T16:25:11Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260927T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- f73c27368dd8cb8560539e011245c8eb3a27af251a1e4592a9d2357ae4246f1b
- Machine
- JSON