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Milepost
1219

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 26 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1219

Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 12°F warmer

65°F in the 20260925T12:00Z run, 78°F in the 20260926T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 3 at 21Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 65.4°F in the 20260925T12:00Z cycle to 77.6°F in the 20260926T06:00Z — a move of +12.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
12.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.5 °F normal 12.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1219 · laid 2026-09-26T16:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260926T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
8e727e539729011c1468b81d922a1f1ce8c0fd8c954cebc2c89589daaa4fe217
Machine
JSON