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Forecast Post
Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 11°F warmer Subscribe

Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 11°F warmer

65°F in the 20260925T12:00Z run, 76°F in the 20260926T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

JSON Milepost 1217

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 3 at 21Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 65.4°F in the 20260925T12:00Z cycle to 76.3°F in the 20260926T00:00Z — a move of +10.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.2 °F normal 10.9 °F
current run
Next exit · Climate · SEP 2616 counties set all-time record highs in July 4
Milepost
1217 · laid 2026-09-26T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260926T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Stores
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Tagged
I-500 Daily Weather · Salt Lake City, Utah (40.761, -111.891) · by rule, at build
Digest
b557e3f9e6d1fe9727d516445fcd6fec28aea0d3cd4c28ce620154c9996f52e3