Edition 2026-09-25 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1211

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 25 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1209

Dallas's forecast for Monday has moved 16°F colder

91°F in the 20260924T06:00Z run, 75°F in the 20260925T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 26°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 5 at 18Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 91.1°F in the 20260924T06:00Z cycle to 74.9°F in the 20260925T06:00Z — a move of -16.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-16.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
26.4 °F normal 16.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1209 · laid 2026-09-25T16:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260925T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
5f8a94db7acea7fb5d4be9323e923fce039e2b77634a12d0212fdfa9ba48ea11
Machine
JSON