{
 "number": 721,
 "headline": "September 2, 2025 Tuesday Tropical Update",
 "standfirst": "Tropical Storm Gabrielle likely to form in next few days (70%)",
 "desk": "tropics",
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  "lat": null,
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  "site_key": null,
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 "edition": "2025-09-02",
 "published": "2025-09-02T21:13:07.677000Z",
 "updated": null,
 "access": "members",
 "body_html": "",
 "body_key": "substack/172603941-september-2-2025-tuesday-tropical.html",
 "teaser_html": "<p>Tropical Wave in Eastern MDR  up to 70% chance of development according to NHC in next 7-days.  The wave is currently within the monsoon trough / ITCZ but not showing immediate signs of development.</p><p>Full physics models  in agreement that TS/HU Gabrielle forms in the next few days similar to Erin \u2014 but uncertainty after 7-days on track and intensity in central MDR.  The system will be a VERY slow mover.  Interesting the AIFS Single and Ensembles are now less aggressive perhaps due to lower 0.25\u00b0 resolution.</p>",
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  "built_at": "2026-09-10T14:46:14Z",
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  "stores": [
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 "source": "substack",
 "canonical": "https://weather.substack.com/p/september-2-2025-tuesday-tropical",
 "slug": "september-2-2025-tuesday-tropical-update",
 "path": "/mp/721/",
 "url": "https://forecastpost.com/mp/721/",
 "desk_label": "Tropics",
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