{
 "number": 702,
 "headline": "August 14, 2025 Thursday Tropical Storm Erin Update",
 "standfirst": "Models show Major Hurricane Erin curving out to sea well off the East Coast",
 "desk": "tropics",
 "dateline": {
  "place": "Weather Trader",
  "state": null,
  "lat": null,
  "lon": null,
  "site_key": null,
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  "accent": null
 },
 "edition": "2025-08-14",
 "published": "2025-08-14T13:58:44.926000Z",
 "updated": null,
 "access": "members",
 "body_html": "",
 "body_key": "substack/170968797-august-14-2025-thursday-tropical.html",
 "teaser_html": "<p>Tropical Storm Erin (05L)  maintaining intensity with more symmetric convection but the fast movement westward (17 mph) suggests the center is misaligned to the east.  Erin will reach much warmer ocean water in coming days, and become a major hurricane east of the Bahamas.   Ensembles show a tiny (2%) chance of a direct landfall along the Outer Banks of North Carolina.</p><p>Showers in southern Gulf of Mexico bubbling up this morning with  20% chance of a depression or weak tropical storm  prior to reaching Mexico later on Friday.</p>",
 "claims": [],
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 "provenance": {
  "built_at": "2026-09-10T14:46:14Z",
  "model": null,
  "cycle": null,
  "stores": [
   "https://weather.substack.com/p/august-14-2025-thursday-tropical"
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  "mint_sha256": null,
  "pairing_rule": null,
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  "inputs": {
   "substack_post_id": "170968797.august-14-2025-thursday-tropical",
   "audience": "only_paid",
   "type": "newsletter",
   "imported_from": "substack export"
  }
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 "strength": 0.0,
 "tags": [
  "archive",
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 "supersedes": null,
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 "source": "substack",
 "canonical": "https://weather.substack.com/p/august-14-2025-thursday-tropical",
 "slug": "august-14-2025-thursday-tropical-storm-erin-update",
 "path": "/mp/702/",
 "url": "https://forecastpost.com/mp/702/",
 "desk_label": "Tropics",
 "digest": "26d8b11bd59b542dafa8dbe31431c2a876ce41dcde8118f38ddb849a42d4dc2b"
}