{
 "number": 353,
 "headline": "July 29, 2024 Monday Tropical Wave Update",
 "standfirst": "More confidence in track of tropical wave off the Southeast Coast",
 "desk": "tropics",
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 "edition": "2024-07-29",
 "published": "2024-07-29T15:50:17.114000Z",
 "updated": null,
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 "body_key": "substack/147128898-july-29-2024-monday-tropical-wave.html",
 "teaser_html": "<p>A tropical wave with almost no shower activity \u2014 a dry wave \u2014 embedded within stable, African/Saharan dust layer air is tracking WNW across the tropical Atlantic east of the Lesser Antilles.  NHC now gives a 50% chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 7-days in an area centralized over the Bahamas.</p><p>However, steering flow due to a \u201cheat dome\u201d over the eastern U.S. favors a \u201crecurve\u201d track but uncertainty about impacts to Florida east coast, up to Carolinas, and Northeast.  Good news:  ensemble modeling does not indicate extreme intensity any long as previous forecast cycles showed last week.  Indeed, GFS/GEFS barely registers the tropical wave and can not be bothered to develop it.</p>",
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 "canonical": "https://weather.substack.com/p/july-29-2024-monday-tropical-wave",
 "slug": "july-29-2024-monday-tropical-wave-update",
 "path": "/mp/353/",
 "url": "https://forecastpost.com/mp/353/",
 "desk_label": "Tropics",
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