{ "number": 347, "headline": "July 22, 2024 Monday Update", "standfirst": "Mostly quiet period ahead with unsettled weather across the South", "desk": "notebook", "dateline": { "place": "Weather Trader", "state": null, "lat": null, "lon": null, "site_key": null, "site_name": null, "site_url": null, "accent": null }, "edition": "2024-07-22", "published": "2024-07-22T18:20:37.803000Z", "updated": null, "access": "free", "body_html": "
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Monday Headlines

  1. Upper-level pattern slowly transitions from the central US / Mississippi Valley trough to more ridging across the Northeast into the weekend (warming) and the western U.S.

    ECMWF AIFS (06z) did not show tropical storm activity through 10-days in the vicinity of the Lower 48.

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    Monday Weather

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    The stationary front extending from Texas into the Mid-Atlantic will focus thunderstorm activity (non-severe) and keep temperatures down with cloud-cover. While painters might not like this weather, it is a bonus to have this rainfall into late-July to mitigate ongoing dryness or drought. Rainfall over the next 72-hours is heavy across Texas including Houston, Florida, and the Carolinas.

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  2. Monday and Tuesday High temperatures: the 90s have been reduced to 1/4 of the Lower 48 land footprint and only 72 million population.

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    The 90s increase slightly on Tuesday, but again the Midwest and Northeast are more mild in the 80s. Comfortable for late-July.

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  3. Atlantic Tropics are showing signs of action in early August but remain dead through the remainder of July 2024. The ECMWF ensembles go through August 6, and a few member show hurricanes.

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  4. Western Pacific Typhoon Gaemi (05W):

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    The JTWC has not upgraded Gaemi to a typhoon, but satellite imagery shows a significant Category 1-2 system with -90\u00b0C cloud tops and an eyewall on microwave imagery.

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    Landfall is possible in northern Taiwan and then China at potentially major typhoon intensity.

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Atlantic Basin GeoColor Satellite Imagery

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Another dust cloud (major one) coming off Africa and beginning its journey across the Atlantic.

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NWS WPC 7-Day Precipitation Forecast | Watering Needs

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15-Day Precipitation Anomaly (%)

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Very wet across Texas in aggregate over the next 2-weeks

Weekly Temperature Anomaly

EPS Week 1: July 22-28, 2024

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EPS Week 2: July 29-Aug 4, 2024

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Upper-level pattern slowly transitions from the central US / Mississippi Valley trough to more ridging across the Northeast into the weekend (warming) and the western U.S.

ECMWF AIFS (06z) did not show tropical storm activity through 10-days in the vicinity of the Lower 48.

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