{
 "number": 301,
 "headline": "June 5, 2024 Tropical Update",
 "standfirst": "ECMWF Seasonal Update shows highly active Atlantic",
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 "edition": "2024-06-05",
 "published": "2024-06-05T17:01:10.668000Z",
 "updated": null,
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 "body_key": "substack/145344232-june-5-2024-tropical-update.html",
 "teaser_html": "<p>The July-December 2024 ECMWF seasonal prognostication from the seasonal model released today shows 21.1 Named Storms vs. a model climatology of 13.5 \u2014 highly significant \u201cactive\u201d season for the Atlantic.</p><p>During a growing La Nina, we expect average or below average activity across the Pacific including the typhoons and hurricanes from China to Mexico.  The seasonal model does show such a solution, so there\u2019s some credibility in the overall forecast for the seasonal ahead.</p>",
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 "canonical": "https://weather.substack.com/p/june-5-2024-tropical-update",
 "slug": "june-5-2024-tropical-update",
 "path": "/mp/301/",
 "url": "https://forecastpost.com/mp/301/",
 "desk_label": "Tropics",
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