{ "number": 225, "headline": "February 29, 2024 Enormous California Mountain Snow", "standfirst": "Warming trend continues across Eastern U.S.", "desk": "winter", "dateline": { "place": "Weather Trader", "state": null, "lat": null, "lon": null, "site_key": null, "site_name": null, "site_url": null, "accent": null }, "edition": "2024-03-01", "published": "2024-03-01T00:49:59.378000Z", "updated": null, "access": "free", "body_html": "
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Thursday Update

Some housekeeping to update everyone on the progress of my development heading into March. Substack as a platform is great for these higher-level newsletters that cover national weather and ongoing extreme events. However, as I\u2019ve mentioned, it\u2019s untenable to send more than one 20 mb sized email every day without filling up your inbox.

There is another publishing platform called Ghost that is self-managed, but contains most of the features of Substack or Wordpress, but allows API posting and other interactions at the command line level to automate various tasks. The customization of the site is also much more intricate than Substack. Ghost also manages subscriptions, and can send emails. Regardless, I\u2019m not going to ditch Substack but use the Ghost platform hosted at Weather Trader in order to host products that will be only accessible to subscribers. Moreover, we will be launching Forecast Points, which will be a PDF (or HTML page) of your local and state/regional weather forecasts, maps, and data. This will be an extensive offering with \u201ceverything under the sun\u201d imaginable for your location of choice including NWS, NWP model, and A.I. modeling output, maps, and tables/charts of recent weather, climatology, and short, medium, and long-range forecasts. This will join Forecast Farm, Weather Trader, and perhaps additional projects, if I get some help! My dream project [close to MVP stage] is still on the horizon \u2014 but I need the capital to accelerate my efforts \u2014 if that\u2019s possible, then by all means email me, otherwise I am a one-person operation (for now.

Your subscriptions make this effort possible, and I\u2019m extremely appreciative. This project is the culmination of my more than 12-year private sector career in meteorology, mainly handling weather model data.

Weather Trader is a reader-supported research and forecasting publication. To receive new posts via email and support my development efforts, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

As I mentioned yesterday, ECMWF announced the arrival of their AIFS artificial intelligence modeling system, which I quickly gobbled up and processed along with the other A.I. models here at https://climatlas.com/temperature/graph/ including Pangu, GraphCast, FourCastNet, FuXi, and now AIFS.

ECMWF is also providing more \u201copen data\u201d at 0.25\u00b0 grid spacing to run the A.I. models and WRF, which will be a huge deal for me (!)

Copernicus Climate Pulse

The European Union\u2019s climate monitoring agency has created a handy website with ERA5 reanalysis temperature/anomaly for the globe. Link.

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Years ago, I called this the Earth\u2019s EKG. I\u2019ve been the biggest proponent of reanalysis based temperature monitoring. From Twitter: Link.

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These updated charts are circa 2007 vintage coding, but have worked well over the years with JRA55 and now JRA3Q. Website at Climate Atlas.

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Daily Mail and other outlets have been irresponsibly reporting (if you want to call it that) on the global temperatures in the coming months. However, it\u2019s garbage because we are transitioning rapidly from El Ni\u00f1o to a La Ni\u00f1a, and it should be rather strong. That will knock back global temperatures to pre-May 2023 levels.

Friday Low Temperatures | March 1, 2024

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The coldest air is just lurking in Canada with well below zero temperatures Friday morning. However, that brutal Arctic air will not be coming down to the Lower 48. Instead, a sustained warming trend into the weekend is on the way.

Friday High Temperatures | March 1, 2024

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Back into the 40s solidly across the Midwest and Great Lakes.

70s in Texas. Not a big fan of the \u201cwedge\u201d in the 40s in North Georgia.

Weekend | Saturday March 3, 2024

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Back to Spring in the Plains and into Chicago, with 60s and 70s. March coming in much above average for both temperature and precipitation.

Weather Trader is a reader-supported publication and service. To receive new posts and support my work and research including A.I. modeling, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Extreme California Precipitation

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Check out Interstate 80 \u2014 the blue line connecting the 114 and 60 through the Sierra. NWS NDFD has a maximum of 183 inches of snow \u2014 that\u2019s more than 15-feet in the next 72-78 hours. Yikes!

WPC 7-Day Precipitation

Boatloads of rain for the Southeast as the subtropical jet brings moisture laden air across the southern tier and combines with Gulf of Mexico disturbances.

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California precipitation totals \u2014 which will fall as snow \u2014 of almost 12-inches = 15-feet or maybe 20 feet of snow. Insane!

Extending out 15-days | EPS Ensembles

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This map goes through the 15th of March, and there\u2019s a light gray color of ~0.1\u201d across the central U.S. from a brief chance of snowfall, but that is not impactful.

Gone is the Lake Effect snow chances, perhaps for good this winter.

Meteorological Spring starts on March 1st.

More Ensemble Clustering Tools at Weather Trader

Leap year offer to upgrade to annual subscription. I\u2019m really hoping you\u2019ll stick around for the Spring and Summer, especially Hurricane Season!

Get 20% off forever

(Maps from weathermodels.com and weathertrader.com)

Thank you to my paying subscribers! Consider upgrading to a Yearly Plan if you find these updates valuable and wish to support my development at Weather Trader. As you can see, your support has paid dividends with considerable progress made to launching Weather Trader at full-tilt. There is still some work to do in the coming days/weeks. Also, it allows me to provide (usually) interesting and valuable commentary on scientific topics on X. Feel free to say hello and follow on X/Twitter (@RyanMaue)

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Thursday Update

Some housekeeping to update everyone on the progress of my development heading into March. Substack as a platform is great for these higher-level newsletters that cover national weather and ongoing extreme events. However, as I\u2019ve mentioned, it\u2019s untenable to send more than one 20 mb sized email every day without filling up your inbox.

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