{ "number": 191, "headline": "January 24, 2024 Sneaky Nor'easters", "standfirst": "Potential for significant snowfall in the Northeast as rest of continent warms", "desk": "winter", "dateline": { "place": "Weather Trader", "state": null, "lat": null, "lon": null, "site_key": null, "site_name": null, "site_url": null, "accent": null }, "edition": "2024-01-25", "published": "2024-01-25T00:26:11.971000Z", "updated": null, "access": "free", "body_html": "

Weather Trader | Wednesday Update

Welcome to new visitors and subscribers from Roger Pielke Jr\u2019s The Honest Broker.

I\u2019ve worked with Roger on hurricane and climate matters for more than a decade, and I encourage you to subscribe to his publication for the most up to date policy, data and commentary on climate and science.

January into February Thaw \u2014 Exceptional Warmth

Thursday Morning Lows | January 25, 2024

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60s in the Southeast will be muggy with fog and rainfall Most of the Lower 48 population is above freezing \u2014 amazing for late January.

Thursday Highs | January 25, 2024

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Get your shorts out in the Southeast with 70s!

Friday Highs | January 26, 2024

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January heat wave \u2014 upper-60s maybe 70\u00b0F into D.C. Mid-70s up into Charlotte. Whoa!

Next 14-days Temperature Anomaly

7-day Chunks from January 24 to February 7, 2024

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Week 1 and Week 2 centroid of 25-30\u00b0F above normal average temperatures centered on Canada. That\u2019s astounding! The minor exceptions will be Alaska and Greenland with the opposite, more than 30\u00b0F below normal, which is very cold in late January and early February. -60\u00b0F in Bettles, Alaska!

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7-day Total Precipitation from WPC

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Heaviest precipitation over the next 7 days will be in the South from Houston into Knoxville with 2-4\u201d

10-day Snowfall Ensemble Median Accumulations

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The ECMWF HRES 12z is one realization of the 52-ensemble members from the EPS. I want to show the two winter storm chances for the Northeast on Sun/Mon as a bonafide intensifying Low Pressure system, and then a Clipper in the 8-10 day range next Friday.

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The full 10-day snowfall totals are wild! Of course, need to always qualify these snowfall maps as a plausible solution out of many possible solutions.

If we zoom out and only look through 6-days into early next week, the snowfall swath shows up beautifully. I guess I\u2019m wish-casting a little bit, but will have a more confident answer on this coastal storm tomorrow.

At least we don\u2019t need to talk about blow torch for 2-weeks.

(Maps from weathermodels.com)

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Weather Trader | Wednesday Update

Warmth is taking off for the next 2-weeks

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